TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 9:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tim Vaisman and Radovan Michalik in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tim Vaisman' if Tim Vaisman advances against Radovan Michalik. This market will resolve to 'Radovan Michalik' if Radovan Michalik advances against Tim Vaisman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tim Vaisman and Radovan Michalik in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tim Vaisman' if Tim Vaisman advances against Radovan Michalik. This market will resolve to 'Radovan Michalik' if Radovan Michalik advances against Tim Vaisman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is a strong indicator of market expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest tennis match between Tim Vaisman and Radovan Michalik. The platform will verify the match result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed using publicly available information and established tournament rules. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Sep 14, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or significant changes in their recent performance, might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Any announcements related to the tournament schedule or potential delays could also introduce volatility. Monitoring tennis news and social media discussions can provide valuable insights into potential catalysts.