TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 6:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Kis Balazs and Nicolas Parizzia in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Kis Balazs' if Rafael Kis Balazs advances against Nicolas Parizzia. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Parizzia' if Nicolas Parizzia advances against Rafael Kis Balazs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Kis Balazs and Nicolas Parizzia in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Kis Balazs' if Rafael Kis Balazs advances against Nicolas Parizzia. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Parizzia' if Nicolas Parizzia advances against Rafael Kis Balazs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as they incentivize informed participation. However, it’s important to remember that both sources have their strengths and weaknesses, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. Currently, the market indicates a strong likelihood of one outcome, but this can change as new information becomes available and traders update their positions. The current volume suggests moderate interest in this match.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest match between Rafael Kis Balazs and Nicolas Parizzia. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. Keep an eye on sports news leading up to this date for any potential developments.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected developments in the players’ recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Strong performances in preceding matches, or even comments from coaches or analysts, could also impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also be a catalyst. Monitoring tennis news and social media for updates on both players will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.