TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Zavacky and Lucas Renard in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Zavacky' if Peter Zavacky advances against Lucas Renard. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Renard' if Lucas Renard advances against Peter Zavacky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Zavacky and Lucas Renard in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Zavacky' if Peter Zavacky advances against Lucas Renard. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Renard' if Lucas Renard advances against Peter Zavacky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the perceived chance of that outcome occurring, allowing for a dynamic and real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Zavacky vs Renard match. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest match between Peter Zavacky and Lucas Renard, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches, or even weather conditions on the day of the event, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create momentum and cause rapid price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match's resolution.