TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Moritz Baumgartner and Niklas Grunewald in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moritz Baumgartner' if Moritz Baumgartner advances against Niklas Grunewald. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Grunewald' if Niklas Grunewald advances against Moritz Baumgartner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Moritz Baumgartner and Niklas Grunewald in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moritz Baumgartner' if Moritz Baumgartner advances against Niklas Grunewald. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Grunewald' if Niklas Grunewald advances against Moritz Baumgartner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. This ensures the market price is a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood, driven entirely by supply and demand for shares.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Baumgartner vs Grunewald match. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official announcements and results following the match to understand how this market will be settled. The final outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training routines, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, may also play a role. Public statements from either player or their teams, as well as expert analysis, could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves as the event approaches.