TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Fondriest and Rares Ioan Poiana in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Fondriest' if Matteo Fondriest advances against Rares Ioan Poiana. This market will resolve to 'Rares Ioan Poiana' if Rares Ioan Poiana advances against Matteo Fondriest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Fondriest and Rares Ioan Poiana in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Fondriest' if Matteo Fondriest advances against Rares Ioan Poiana. This market will resolve to 'Rares Ioan Poiana' if Rares Ioan Poiana advances against Matteo Fondriest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest match between Matteo Fondriest and Rares Ioan Poiana. The platform will rely on established sources to determine the winner of the match, and the shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be resolved.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis betting or public opinion regarding the players’ chances could contribute to price movements. Monitoring sports news and tennis analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.