TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 12:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matei Todoran and Orel Kimhi in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matei Todoran' if Matei Todoran advances against Orel Kimhi. This market will resolve to 'Orel Kimhi' if Orel Kimhi advances against Matei Todoran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matei Todoran and Orel Kimhi in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matei Todoran' if Matei Todoran advances against Orel Kimhi. This market will resolve to 'Orel Kimhi' if Orel Kimhi advances against Matei Todoran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of bettors participating in the prediction market. It's common to see this market offer odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are bought, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the probability of a specific result in the Todoran vs Kimhi match.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest match between Matei Todoran and Orel Kimhi, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Todoran or Kimhi, or changes in playing conditions could all impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by analysis from sports commentators or betting experts, can drive trading volume and price changes in this market.