TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mate Valkusz and Bruno Fernandez in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mate Valkusz' if Mate Valkusz advances against Bruno Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Bruno Fernandez' if Bruno Fernandez advances against Mate Valkusz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mate Valkusz and Bruno Fernandez in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mate Valkusz' if Mate Valkusz advances against Bruno Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Bruno Fernandez' if Bruno Fernandez advances against Mate Valkusz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or risk management strategies that aren't necessarily based purely on the probability of an event. This market, like others on Polymarket, allows for a more open and fluid assessment of potential outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders react to news and adjust their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest match between Mate Valkusz and Bruno Fernandez. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to the M15 Budapest tournament could cause significant shifts in the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could indicate new information or a change in expectations, leading to price movements in this market.