TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Renard and Jan Kupcic in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Renard' if Lucas Renard advances against Jan Kupcic. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kupcic' if Jan Kupcic advances against Lucas Renard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Renard and Jan Kupcic in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Renard' if Lucas Renard advances against Jan Kupcic. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kupcic' if Jan Kupcic advances against Lucas Renard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated predictions of its users regarding the Renard vs Kupcic match.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest tennis match between Lucas Renard and Jan Kupcic, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could quickly shift the odds, reflecting new information or strategic bets on the Renard vs Kupcic match.