TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 6:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Ben Weintraub in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Ben Weintraub. This market will resolve to 'Ben Weintraub' if Ben Weintraub advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Ben Weintraub in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Ben Weintraub. This market will resolve to 'Ben Weintraub' if Ben Weintraub advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and profit margins, while this market’s pricing is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has access to unique insights. It is important to consider both sources when evaluating the potential outcome of the Marmousez vs Weintraub match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Marmousez vs Weintraub match. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marmousez vs Weintraub match as reported by the governing body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market odds at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals or events could influence the price of this market before Sep 16, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also cause the market to adjust. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in the Marmousez vs Weintraub match market.