TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kupcic and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kupcic' if Jan Kupcic advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini. This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Jan Kupcic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kupcic and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kupcic' if Jan Kupcic advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini. This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Jan Kupcic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions that drive the prediction market price in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest match between Jan Kupcic and Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Jan Kupcic or Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini would likely cause shifts in trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also impact confidence in player performance. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as large trades within Polymarket, can all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.