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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 1:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Heorhii Shylov and Ofek Shimanov in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Heorhii Shylov' if Heorhii Shylov advances against Ofek Shimanov. This market will resolve to 'Ofek Shimanov' if Ofek Shimanov advances against Heorhii Shylov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Heorhii Shylov and Ofek Shimanov in the M15 Budapest, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Heorhii Shylov' if Heorhii Shylov advances against Ofek Shimanov. This market will resolve to 'Ofek Shimanov' if Ofek Shimanov advances against Heorhii Shylov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shylov vs Shimanov match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest match between Heorhii Shylov and Ofek Shimanov. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert opinions could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or strategy, or even changes in the tournament schedule, could also lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.