TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 6:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Weintraub and Radovan Michalik in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Weintraub' if Ben Weintraub advances against Radovan Michalik. This market will resolve to 'Radovan Michalik' if Radovan Michalik advances against Ben Weintraub. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Weintraub and Radovan Michalik in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Weintraub' if Ben Weintraub advances against Radovan Michalik. This market will resolve to 'Radovan Michalik' if Radovan Michalik advances against Ben Weintraub. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price indicates the market's assessment of each player’s chances of winning the Budapest tennis match, and is constantly updated based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Budapest tennis match between Ben Weintraub and Radovan Michalik. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and reporting from reputable sports news sources. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the winner, based on the final share prices at the time of resolution. The outcome will be determined by the official result, regardless of pre-match predictions or analysis.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about a player’s strategy or coaching changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment, causing prices to move quickly. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the players and the event itself is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.