TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 11:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacopo Bilardo and Manuel Mazza in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against Manuel Mazza. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Jacopo Bilardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacopo Bilardo and Manuel Mazza in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against Manuel Mazza. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Jacopo Bilardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, whereas this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. It’s important to note that prediction markets often resolve more quickly and transparently than traditional sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the M15 Bologna match between Jacopo Bilardo and Manuel Mazza. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner or if the match ends in a draw. Any disputes will be handled according to the platform’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their training regimens could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the M15 Bologna tournament, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Public opinion and expert analysis could also contribute to price movements.