TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 6:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Maria Noce and Alessandro Battiston in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Maria Noce' if Gabriele Maria Noce advances against Alessandro Battiston. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Battiston' if Alessandro Battiston advances against Gabriele Maria Noce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Maria Noce and Alessandro Battiston in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Maria Noce' if Gabriele Maria Noce advances against Alessandro Battiston. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Battiston' if Alessandro Battiston advances against Gabriele Maria Noce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring as assessed by traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It’s common to see this market reflect insights not immediately captured by conventional odds, potentially offering value to informed bettors who compare the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential results, driven entirely by user activity.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bologna tennis match between Gabriele Maria Noce and Alessandro Battiston. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match will be reflected in the market’s resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the outcome based on the actual event that transpires.