TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 10:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Crivellaro and Nik Mikovic in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Crivellaro' if Gabriele Crivellaro advances against Nik Mikovic. This market will resolve to 'Nik Mikovic' if Nik Mikovic advances against Gabriele Crivellaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Crivellaro and Nik Mikovic in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Crivellaro' if Gabriele Crivellaro advances against Nik Mikovic. This market will resolve to 'Nik Mikovic' if Nik Mikovic advances against Gabriele Crivellaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly differs from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional methods, though past performance is not indicative of future results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Crivellaro vs Mikovic match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Crivellaro vs Mikovic match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and established sporting results.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about either player’s preparation or strategy might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal a shift in sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements before Sep 9, 2026.