TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Crivellaro and Marcello Serafini in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Crivellaro' if Gabriele Crivellaro advances against Marcello Serafini. This market will resolve to 'Marcello Serafini' if Marcello Serafini advances against Gabriele Crivellaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Crivellaro and Marcello Serafini in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Crivellaro' if Gabriele Crivellaro advances against Marcello Serafini. This market will resolve to 'Marcello Serafini' if Marcello Serafini advances against Gabriele Crivellaro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's odds evolve based on actual money wagered. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, or where sportsbooks may have mispriced the probability of a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bologna tennis match between Gabriele Crivellaro and Marcello Serafini. The platform will verify the winner, and payouts will be distributed to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor news sources around the resolution date to understand the final outcome and ensure timely settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis tournaments, might also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could trigger price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Sep 10, 2026.