TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 2:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Bosio and Blu Baker in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Blu Baker. This market will resolve to 'Blu Baker' if Blu Baker advances against Gabriele Bosio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Bosio and Blu Baker in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Blu Baker. This market will resolve to 'Blu Baker' if Blu Baker advances against Gabriele Bosio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate aggregate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception. However, sportsbook odds can still be useful as a point of comparison, and discrepancies between the two can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities. It's important to consider that this market, like any forecasting tool, is not perfect, and outcomes are subject to uncertainty.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is influenced by new information and shifts in trader sentiment regarding the Bosio vs Baker match.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bosio vs Baker match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts could also impact the market, as could significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the match could also lead to price movements, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.