TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 7:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Blu Baker and Manuel Plunger in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blu Baker' if Blu Baker advances against Manuel Plunger. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Blu Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Blu Baker and Manuel Plunger in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blu Baker' if Blu Baker advances against Manuel Plunger. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Blu Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, allows participants to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in how each entity assesses the matchup.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment surrounding the Bologna M15 matchup between Blu Baker and Manuel Plunger.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Blu Baker versus Manuel Plunger match in the Bologna M15 tournament. The platform will then verify the outcome against publicly available sources to determine which shares will pay out. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, leading to price movements in this market.