TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 9:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Zanellato and Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini in the M15 Belém, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Zanellato' if Nicolas Zanellato advances against Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini' if Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini advances against Nicolas Zanellato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Zanellato and Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini in the M15 Belém, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Zanellato' if Nicolas Zanellato advances against Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini' if Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini advances against Nicolas Zanellato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, this market allows traders to continuously update their assessments based on new information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities than traditional betting venues. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public sentiment and informed predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current volume traded demonstrates the level of interest in this particular market.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Belém match between Nicolas Zanellato and Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini. This means the outcome will be determined by the official score or result declared by the governing body of the competition. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and move the market, reflecting changes in perceived probabilities as new information becomes available.