TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 7:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini and Ryan Dickerson in the M15 Belém, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini' if Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini advances against Ryan Dickerson. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Dickerson' if Ryan Dickerson advances against Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini and Ryan Dickerson in the M15 Belém, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini' if Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini advances against Ryan Dickerson. This market will resolve to 'Ryan Dickerson' if Ryan Dickerson advances against Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of many individual traders. If prediction market participants have access to unique information or a different analytical approach, the odds may diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This creates a dynamic and evolving forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Belém tennis match between Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini and Ryan Dickerson. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The process aims to provide a transparent and reliable determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Major weather forecasts for Belém could also be a catalyst, as conditions can affect playing styles. Increased media coverage or public attention surrounding the match could also drive more volume and price movement as more people become aware of this market.