TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaue Noatto and Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo in the M15 Belém, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaue Noatto' if Kaue Noatto advances against Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo' if Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo advances against Kaue Noatto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaue Noatto and Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo in the M15 Belém, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaue Noatto' if Kaue Noatto advances against Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo' if Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo advances against Kaue Noatto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction venues.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kaue Noatto vs Daniel Rebelo match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either fighter, Kaue Noatto or Daniel Rebelo, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift the odds. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, or changes in their ranking, could also impact trader sentiment. Even broader factors, like public discussion and media coverage of the match, can contribute to price movements in this market.