TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 5:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Souza and Gabriel Schenekenberg in the M15 Belém, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Gabriel Schenekenberg. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Schenekenberg' if Gabriel Schenekenberg advances against Andre Souza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Souza and Gabriel Schenekenberg in the M15 Belém, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Souza' if Andre Souza advances against Gabriel Schenekenberg. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Schenekenberg' if Gabriel Schenekenberg advances against Andre Souza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to odds on Polymarket diverging from those found at sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Andre Souza vs Gabriel Schenekenberg match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Andre Souza vs Gabriel Schenekenberg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the governing body of the match. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could impact perceptions of each fighter’s chances. Unexpected announcements about fighter strategies or pre-match interviews could also sway trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity from well-known or respected traders on Polymarket could trigger follow-on movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market before Sep 24, 2026.