TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 10:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Storch and Haruto Ishikawa in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Storch' if Stefan Storch advances against Haruto Ishikawa. This market will resolve to 'Haruto Ishikawa' if Haruto Ishikawa advances against Stefan Storch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Storch and Haruto Ishikawa in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Storch' if Stefan Storch advances against Haruto Ishikawa. This market will resolve to 'Haruto Ishikawa' if Haruto Ishikawa advances against Stefan Storch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering different value than what is found at sportsbooks. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable strategy for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. Higher demand for shares in a specific outcome will drive up its price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This creates a market-driven assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Storch vs Ishikawa match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Storch vs Ishikawa match as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected announcements about the match conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Public analysis from tennis experts, shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, and even social media discussions could also play a role. Furthermore, the performance of both Storch and Ishikawa in preceding matches or tournaments will be closely monitored, as will any updates on their current form and fitness levels. These signals will all contribute to the dynamic pricing of this market.