TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 2:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Menichella and Ethan Jake Frans in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Menichella' if Stefan Menichella advances against Ethan Jake Frans. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Jake Frans' if Ethan Jake Frans advances against Stefan Menichella. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Menichella and Ethan Jake Frans in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Menichella' if Stefan Menichella advances against Ethan Jake Frans. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Jake Frans' if Ethan Jake Frans advances against Stefan Menichella. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal interesting insights into public versus informed opinion regarding the M15 Bali tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential result. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the different possible outcomes in this contest.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bali tennis match between Stefan Menichella and Ethan Jake Frans, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches featuring these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants could temporarily shift the price, though the market typically self-corrects as more information becomes available. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.