TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen and Ashwin Ryan Sharma in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen' if Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen advances against Ashwin Ryan Sharma. This market will resolve to 'Ashwin Ryan Sharma' if Ashwin Ryan Sharma advances against Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen and Ashwin Ryan Sharma in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen' if Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen advances against Ashwin Ryan Sharma. This market will resolve to 'Ashwin Ryan Sharma' if Ashwin Ryan Sharma advances against Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell, meaning the odds can react more quickly to new information or shifts in sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply the collective opinion of participants in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bali tennis match between Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen and Ashwin Ryan Sharma. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, general tennis news, weather forecasts for Bali, or even significant betting activity on external sportsbooks could all act as catalysts, causing traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids and asks, thereby moving the market.