TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 11:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raghav Jaisinghani and Hayden Jones in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raghav Jaisinghani' if Raghav Jaisinghani advances against Hayden Jones. This market will resolve to 'Hayden Jones' if Hayden Jones advances against Raghav Jaisinghani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raghav Jaisinghani and Hayden Jones in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raghav Jaisinghani' if Raghav Jaisinghani advances against Hayden Jones. This market will resolve to 'Hayden Jones' if Hayden Jones advances against Raghav Jaisinghani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially incorporating information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or events that impact perceived probabilities, sometimes moving ahead of sportsbook adjustments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly updating based on collective intelligence, offering a different perspective than fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the M15 Bali tennis match, as officially declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the settlement of this market. The platform relies on publicly available results to ensure an objective and transparent resolution process. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, focusing on verifying the official tournament outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could shift the odds. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media sentiment, might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. A strong performance by one player in a practice session or a notable change in coaching staff could also move the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.