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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nathan Anthony Barki and Alexander Chang in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Anthony Barki' if Nathan Anthony Barki advances against Alexander Chang. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Nathan Anthony Barki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nathan Anthony Barki and Alexander Chang in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Anthony Barki' if Nathan Anthony Barki advances against Alexander Chang. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Nathan Anthony Barki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and can shift rapidly based on new information or changes in sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M15 Bali tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price, and therefore the greater the implied probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants, offering a unique perspective on the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bali tennis match between Nathan Anthony Barki and Alexander Chang, as reported by official tournament sources. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the basis for market settlement.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.