TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between M Alfaradu Sumirat and Andras Necz in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'M Alfaradu Sumirat' if M Alfaradu Sumirat advances against Andras Necz. This market will resolve to 'Andras Necz' if Andras Necz advances against M Alfaradu Sumirat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between M Alfaradu Sumirat and Andras Necz in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'M Alfaradu Sumirat' if M Alfaradu Sumirat advances against Andras Necz. This market will resolve to 'Andras Necz' if Andras Necz advances against M Alfaradu Sumirat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that prediction market participants possess information not yet fully priced into traditional betting lines, or simply have differing opinions on the probabilities involved. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on Polymarket, and is subject to change based on new information or shifts in sentiment regarding the Alfaradu vs Necz match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bali match between M Alfaradu Sumirat and Andras Necz. The platform will utilize publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either M Alfaradu Sumirat or Andras Necz could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the tournament itself, or even broader shifts in public perception regarding the players' chances, could also drive movement. Major upsets in other matches within the M15 Bali tournament might also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess overall probabilities and potential outcomes.