TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karan Singh and Hayden Jones in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karan Singh' if Karan Singh advances against Hayden Jones. This market will resolve to 'Hayden Jones' if Hayden Jones advances against Karan Singh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karan Singh and Hayden Jones in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karan Singh' if Karan Singh advances against Hayden Jones. This market will resolve to 'Hayden Jones' if Hayden Jones advances against Karan Singh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages, or simply the mechanics of each system. It’s common to see this market offer odds that imply a different probability of an outcome than those offered by sportsbooks, potentially revealing insights into crowd wisdom or specialized knowledge about the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly adjusting to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the M15 Bali tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bali tennis match between Karan Singh and Hayden Jones, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media commentary from tennis analysts, might also shift the odds. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived opportunities.