TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 11:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai-i Wang and Nathan Anthony Barki in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai-i Wang' if Kai-i Wang advances against Nathan Anthony Barki. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Anthony Barki' if Nathan Anthony Barki advances against Kai-i Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai-i Wang and Nathan Anthony Barki in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai-i Wang' if Kai-i Wang advances against Nathan Anthony Barki. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Anthony Barki' if Nathan Anthony Barki advances against Kai-i Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders possess information not yet fully incorporated into the sportsbook odds, or simply a different assessment of the players’ chances. It’s a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the match’s likely result. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bali tennis match between Kai-i Wang and Nathan Anthony Barki, as declared by the tournament organizers. The final result will determine which shares pay out, and the value received will depend on the final price of the winning outcome’s shares at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive result.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media commentary from tennis analysts, might also impact trader sentiment. A strong performance by either player in a practice session or a pre-match interview could also cause movement in this market, as traders react to the latest information available.