TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Jake Frans and Renaldi Aqila A Salim in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Jake Frans' if Ethan Jake Frans advances against Renaldi Aqila A Salim. This market will resolve to 'Renaldi Aqila A Salim' if Renaldi Aqila A Salim advances against Ethan Jake Frans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Jake Frans and Renaldi Aqila A Salim in the M15 Bali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Jake Frans' if Ethan Jake Frans advances against Renaldi Aqila A Salim. This market will resolve to 'Renaldi Aqila A Salim' if Renaldi Aqila A Salim advances against Ethan Jake Frans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This can slightly skew the implied probabilities. Prediction markets, on the other hand, are driven by the collective wisdom of traders, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities, though this isn't always the case. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, reflecting differing opinions and information available to each group. Examining these discrepancies can be insightful for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bali tennis match between Ethan Jake Frans and Renaldi Aqila A Salim. Specifically, the winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s guidelines.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also cause shifts. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 13, 2026.