TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 1:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eric Ahren Moonga and M Rifqi Fitriadi in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eric Ahren Moonga' if Eric Ahren Moonga advances against M Rifqi Fitriadi. This market will resolve to 'M Rifqi Fitriadi' if M Rifqi Fitriadi advances against Eric Ahren Moonga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eric Ahren Moonga and M Rifqi Fitriadi in the M15 Bali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eric Ahren Moonga' if Eric Ahren Moonga advances against M Rifqi Fitriadi. This market will resolve to 'M Rifqi Fitriadi' if M Rifqi Fitriadi advances against Eric Ahren Moonga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of market participation.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Bali tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the final score and declare the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved result. The outcome will be determined by the official tournament results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts regarding player matchups, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on opportunities within this market.