TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Snir Morag and ori Hillel in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Snir Morag' if Snir Morag advances against ori Hillel. This market will resolve to 'ori Hillel' if ori Hillel advances against Snir Morag. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Snir Morag and ori Hillel in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Snir Morag' if Snir Morag advances against ori Hillel. This market will resolve to 'ori Hillel' if ori Hillel advances against Snir Morag. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has a stronger understanding of the players involved in the Baku M15 tennis match. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Baku M15 tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the market's collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by new information, expert opinions, and overall market sentiment. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the likely result, making it a dynamic and informative indicator.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Baku M15 tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This allows for a clear and objective determination of the winning outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could shift trader sentiment. Analyst predictions and expert opinions on the players' form and matchup strategies could also influence the market. Furthermore, large trades or sudden increases in volume on Polymarket could indicate a shift in confidence, potentially leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding the market's movements.