TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 5:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Brown and Kerem Yilmaz in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Brown' if Oscar Brown advances against Kerem Yilmaz. This market will resolve to 'Kerem Yilmaz' if Kerem Yilmaz advances against Oscar Brown. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Brown and Kerem Yilmaz in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Brown' if Oscar Brown advances against Kerem Yilmaz. This market will resolve to 'Kerem Yilmaz' if Kerem Yilmaz advances against Oscar Brown. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a collective wisdom that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket and sportsbook lines tend to converge as more information becomes available and the market incorporates new data. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly the price adjusts to new information. Higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery, meaning the odds more accurately reflect the true underlying probabilities of the fight’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official decision announced by the boxing commission overseeing the Baku boxing match. This includes a win by knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the final result and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either Oscar Brown or Kerem Yilmaz would likely cause a shift in the odds. Updates on their training camps, changes in their coaching staff, or even pre-fight press conference statements could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts and public polls regarding the fighters’ chances could drive volume and price movement on Polymarket. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also be a signal for traders in this market.