TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 8:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between ori Hillel and Thomas Drayton in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'ori Hillel' if ori Hillel advances against Thomas Drayton. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Drayton' if Thomas Drayton advances against ori Hillel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between ori Hillel and Thomas Drayton in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'ori Hillel' if ori Hillel advances against Thomas Drayton. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Drayton' if Thomas Drayton advances against ori Hillel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe ori Hillel will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Baku tennis match between ori Hillel and Thomas Drayton, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market will be finalized and settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either ori Hillel or Thomas Drayton, or changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could also cause the market to move. Monitoring sports news and tennis-specific reporting will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.