TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 9:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nazim Melikov and Yuki Ikeda in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nazim Melikov' if Nazim Melikov advances against Yuki Ikeda. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Ikeda' if Yuki Ikeda advances against Nazim Melikov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nazim Melikov and Yuki Ikeda in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nazim Melikov' if Nazim Melikov advances against Yuki Ikeda. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Ikeda' if Yuki Ikeda advances against Nazim Melikov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, designed to ensure their profitability. This market, being driven by the collective intelligence of traders, tends to reflect more closely what participants believe is the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbook odds might initially differ, they often converge with prediction market prices as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. It's a valuable comparison point for anyone analyzing the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Baku tennis match between Nazim Melikov and Yuki Ikeda. The platform will verify the match result against official tournament data to determine the winning player. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual result of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player fitness, such as an injury to either Nazim Melikov or Yuki Ikeda, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions at the match venue could also shift expectations, as could updates on their recent performance in other tournaments. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or strategic adjustments could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to fluctuations in the market price.