TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Makar Krivoshchekov and Pavel Savelov in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Makar Krivoshchekov' if Makar Krivoshchekov advances against Pavel Savelov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Savelov' if Pavel Savelov advances against Makar Krivoshchekov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Makar Krivoshchekov and Pavel Savelov in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Makar Krivoshchekov' if Makar Krivoshchekov advances against Pavel Savelov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Savelov' if Pavel Savelov advances against Makar Krivoshchekov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on new information and their own assessments. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely winner of the match. It is common to see prediction markets offer more competitive odds, particularly as the event approaches and more volume is traded.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the players' chances in the Baku chess tournament. The current price indicates the market's expectation of who will win the match between Makar Krivoshchekov and Pavel Savelov.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the match between Makar Krivoshchekov and Pavel Savelov in the Baku chess tournament. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and reports from reputable chess news outlets. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, health status, or preparation for the tournament could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or commentary from chess analysts, could also impact trading activity. A significant amount of volume entering the market, particularly from informed traders, could also cause noticeable price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of Makar Krivoshchekov’s or Pavel Savelov’s chances of winning will likely move this market.