TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 7:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Makar Elesin and Aditya Kothari in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Makar Elesin' if Makar Elesin advances against Aditya Kothari. This market will resolve to 'Aditya Kothari' if Aditya Kothari advances against Makar Elesin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Makar Elesin and Aditya Kothari in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Makar Elesin' if Makar Elesin advances against Aditya Kothari. This market will resolve to 'Aditya Kothari' if Aditya Kothari advances against Makar Elesin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. If a large number of traders believe a particular player will win, the odds on Polymarket may shift more dramatically than those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets aggregate information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations surrounding the Baku tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Elesin vs. Kothari match in Baku, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settling this market and determining which shares will be redeemed at 1 USD each.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, especially if they represent a significant shift in conviction. Monitoring tennis news and following activity on the platform are key to understanding potential catalysts.