TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Larue and James Connel in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Larue' if Louis Larue advances against James Connel. This market will resolve to 'James Connel' if James Connel advances against Louis Larue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Larue and James Connel in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Larue' if Louis Larue advances against James Connel. This market will resolve to 'James Connel' if James Connel advances against Louis Larue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for Louis Larue winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the match, the more responsive the price will be to new information, such as injury reports or changes in playing conditions. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Baku tennis match between Louis Larue and James Connel. The platform will verify the winner based on widely available and trusted sources, ensuring an objective determination of the market's outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Louis Larue or James Connel, or changes in weather conditions at the Baku venue could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one might also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, causing a significant price movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.