TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 5:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Delicata and Louis Allen in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against Louis Allen. This market will resolve to 'Louis Allen' if Louis Allen advances against Liam Delicata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Delicata and Louis Allen in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against Louis Allen. This market will resolve to 'Louis Allen' if Louis Allen advances against Liam Delicata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals making their own predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early on, as the prediction market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on trader activity. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal insights into public perception versus expert opinion regarding the outcome of the Baku tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a player will win, the higher the price of shares related to that player will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Baku tennis match between Liam Delicata and Louis Allen, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the official result to understand when the market will be settled and payouts will be distributed.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price movements, reflecting their conviction about the likely winner of the Baku tennis match.