TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 5:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Delicata and Adam Bajurko in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against Adam Bajurko. This market will resolve to 'Adam Bajurko' if Adam Bajurko advances against Liam Delicata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Delicata and Adam Bajurko in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Delicata' if Liam Delicata advances against Adam Bajurko. This market will resolve to 'Adam Bajurko' if Adam Bajurko advances against Liam Delicata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and shifts in sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Baku tennis match. The current volume suggests significant interest in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Baku tennis match between Liam Delicata and Adam Bajurko. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts for Baku could also play a role, as could any late-breaking news about the players’ strategies or preparation. Major upsets in other related tennis tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities for this match, leading to fluctuations in the market price. Public opinion and expert analysis could also contribute to movement.