TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
M15 Baku: Koray Kirci vs Nicolas Jadoun
- Polymarket
M15 Baku: Koray Kirci vs Nicolas Jadoun - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 5:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Koray Kirci and Nicolas Jadoun in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Koray Kirci' if Koray Kirci advances against Nicolas Jadoun. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Koray Kirci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Koray Kirci and Nicolas Jadoun in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Koray Kirci' if Koray Kirci advances against Nicolas Jadoun. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Koray Kirci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those on Polymarket, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of a particular outcome. It's also possible that information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines is already reflected in the prediction market, or vice versa. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kirci vs Jadoun match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the market's consensus probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher the share price rises, and the implied probability increases. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the match.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kirci vs Jadoun match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected announcements about either player’s form or strategy might also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket can create short-term volatility, and overall market activity related to tennis events could have a broader impact on this specific market.