TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 6:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Gretskiy and Thomas Drayton in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gretskiy' if Ivan Gretskiy advances against Thomas Drayton. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Drayton' if Thomas Drayton advances against Ivan Gretskiy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Gretskiy and Thomas Drayton in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gretskiy' if Ivan Gretskiy advances against Thomas Drayton. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Drayton' if Thomas Drayton advances against Ivan Gretskiy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their view, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ivan Gretskiy versus Thomas Drayton match in Baku, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match could cause the odds to shift. Strong performance by either player in other recent matches, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Baku on the day of the match could also be a catalyst for movement in this market.