TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ignatov and Ioannis Stamatopoulos in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ignatov' if Ilya Ignatov advances against Ioannis Stamatopoulos. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Stamatopoulos' if Ioannis Stamatopoulos advances against Ilya Ignatov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ignatov and Ioannis Stamatopoulos in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ignatov' if Ilya Ignatov advances against Ioannis Stamatopoulos. This market will resolve to 'Ioannis Stamatopoulos' if Ioannis Stamatopoulos advances against Ilya Ignatov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Baku tennis match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, selling shares drives the price down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. The current volume of trading is $3,265.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the match between Ilya Ignatov and Ioannis Stamatopoulos in Baku. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the winning outcome.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market prior to resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts in Baku, or reports of either player experiencing illness, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on head-to-head records or recent match results involving either Ilya Ignatov or Ioannis Stamatopoulos could lead to price adjustments. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns elsewhere, might also move this market.