TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 8:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ignatov and Alexey Dubinin in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ignatov' if Ilya Ignatov advances against Alexey Dubinin. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Ilya Ignatov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ignatov and Alexey Dubinin in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ignatov' if Ilya Ignatov advances against Alexey Dubinin. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Ilya Ignatov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on new information and collective insight. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the prediction market odds in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Baku tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ilya Ignatov vs Alexey Dubinin tennis match in Baku. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the match schedule might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in expectations. Even social media discussions and public opinion, while less direct, can sometimes impact trading activity and, consequently, the price of shares in this market.