TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dmitry Dolzhenkov and Arvid Nordquist in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Dolzhenkov' if Dmitry Dolzhenkov advances against Arvid Nordquist. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Dmitry Dolzhenkov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dmitry Dolzhenkov and Arvid Nordquist in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Dolzhenkov' if Dmitry Dolzhenkov advances against Arvid Nordquist. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Dmitry Dolzhenkov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trading. If prediction market participants collectively believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can create price divergence by trading in a way that adjusts the probabilities on Polymarket. It’s common to see differences, especially when new information emerges or public opinion shifts.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Baku match between Dmitry Dolzhenkov and Arvid Nordquist. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Dmitry Dolzhenkov or Arvid Nordquist could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about match scheduling or venue changes could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could influence traders and lead to changes in volume and price.