TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Digvijay Pratap Singh and Arvid Nordquist in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Digvijay Pratap Singh' if Digvijay Pratap Singh advances against Arvid Nordquist. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Digvijay Pratap Singh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Digvijay Pratap Singh and Arvid Nordquist in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Digvijay Pratap Singh' if Digvijay Pratap Singh advances against Arvid Nordquist. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Digvijay Pratap Singh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome in the Singh vs Nordquist match, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. It’s useful to compare the two to identify potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Singh vs Nordquist match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time forecast of the event's result. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Baku match between Digvijay Pratap Singh and Arvid Nordquist. The platform will then verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Digvijay Pratap Singh or Arvid Nordquist could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis betting or public opinion regarding the players' chances could contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.