TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Clemens Cserni and Aditya Kothari in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clemens Cserni' if Clemens Cserni advances against Aditya Kothari. This market will resolve to 'Aditya Kothari' if Aditya Kothari advances against Clemens Cserni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Clemens Cserni and Aditya Kothari in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clemens Cserni' if Clemens Cserni advances against Aditya Kothari. This market will resolve to 'Aditya Kothari' if Aditya Kothari advances against Clemens Cserni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. The current price indicates the implied probability of a player winning, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and trading shares before the market resolves. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information they possess.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by the official result of the Baku tennis match between Clemens Cserni and Aditya Kothari. The platform will verify the outcome against sources like official tournament websites and sports news outlets to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the Baku venue, or even a player's recent performance in other tournaments, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information entering the market. Finally, general shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or sports news, could also contribute to price movements in this market.