TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chen Kogan and Alexey Dubinin in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chen Kogan' if Chen Kogan advances against Alexey Dubinin. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Chen Kogan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chen Kogan and Alexey Dubinin in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chen Kogan' if Chen Kogan advances against Alexey Dubinin. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Chen Kogan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and the overall sentiment of the trading community regarding the Baku chess match. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Baku chess match between Chen Kogan and Alexey Dubinin. The platform will verify the result against established chess reporting sources to determine the winning player. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, health, or preparation could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preliminary rounds or qualifying matches could also impact the odds. Furthermore, expert analysis and commentary on the players’ strategies and potential matchups could drive trading activity. Finally, significant shifts in public opinion or broader chess community forecasts could also contribute to price movements in this market, as traders adjust their positions based on new information and evolving perceptions of the Baku chess match.