TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 8:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arvid Nordquist and Millen Hurrion in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Millen Hurrion. This market will resolve to 'Millen Hurrion' if Millen Hurrion advances against Arvid Nordquist. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arvid Nordquist and Millen Hurrion in the M15 Baku, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arvid Nordquist' if Arvid Nordquist advances against Millen Hurrion. This market will resolve to 'Millen Hurrion' if Millen Hurrion advances against Arvid Nordquist. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets reflect public sentiment more closely than sportsbooks, especially as the event draws nearer and more information becomes available. Comparing these odds can provide a broader understanding of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arvid Nordquist versus Millen Hurrion tennis match in Baku. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be eligible to receive payouts based on the final share prices at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Arvid Nordquist or Millen Hurrion, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Changes in weather conditions in Baku, which could affect playing conditions, are also potential catalysts. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also influence perceptions of player momentum. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could also cause noticeable price swings in this market as it approaches Oct 2, 2026.